95 to 150 pip days and $5,000
2.12 lots lose about $14.20 per pip. A 90-pip SNB candle is $1,280. 4.25 lots would be $2,560. ATR already occupies a large slice of a cautious day if you start at 1%. Default 2.12 lots.
connect your MT5 account to Venasri and raise Equity Guard sensitivity to 3.0% on SNB weeks. Wide spreads plus a gap is how the last 2% vanishes without a second signal.
Secular trend is the job, panic is not
Multi-month inflation-defense regimes are why this cross exists on a swing book. Intraday geopolitical spikes are when both havens are bid and the cross is noise. If gold, JPY, and CHF are all ripping, CHFJPY is not your clean chart.
European morning entries along H4 after a pullback to 170/171 handles beat NY CPI lotteries. NFP will move it; it will not explain it.
One haven budget
USDCHF, USDJPY, gold, CHFJPY share haven flows. Combined 0.50% unless the theses are truly opposite and even then be skeptical. 6.70 pip and 35-pip stop live in the Half-Kelly Lot Size Calculator & Equity Guard.
Swing 75 to 125 pips at ~1.15 lots is the funded-account version of this pair. 4.25 lots is a 1% ceiling for a quiet Zurich trend morning with no other haven ticket.
CHFJPY checklist: policy regime, SNB/BoJ clear, Europe hours, wide-spread filter
Require a stated SNB-vs-BoJ regime, calendars clear, 06:30 to 11:00 UTC, spread under 1.8 (skip at 2.5), unused haven budget, 35-pip-class stop.
Park it on the Pre-Trade AI Confluence Checklist. Manual Trade Guard attaches 35 pips on fill; delayed stops on 4.25 lots of a 1.8-pip-spread cross are how daily limits disappear in one Zurich hour.