EIA math versus the daily floor
8.3 100-bbl lots at $10 per dime lose $83 per $0.10. A $0.60 stop is $498. A $0.80 EIA fill is $664. 16.6 lots would be $1,328 on that fill, and a CL mix-up would be 10×. Default 8.3 CFD lots, zero into 14:30 UTC Wednesday.
connect your MT5 account to Venasri and hard-block EIA. Equity Guard at 3.5% (3.0% on OPEC weeks). Confirm 100 vs 1,000 barrels in the guard tick field tonight, not during the print.
Open sweep, inventory, weekend OPEC
13:00 UTC sweep is not an entry. 13:30 to 16:30 UTC is. OPEC+ weekend gaps: flatten Friday if weekend holding is banned; 4 CFD lots with a $1.20 stop if allowed and you pre-accept the gap. Asia oil scalps at 2 to 4 tick spreads are a fee.
USDCAD inverse and CADJPY petro-carry will move. If they are already on, USOIL is residual or skip. One crude thesis.
One energy budget, two barrel specs
USOIL + UKOIL + USDCAD + CADJPY = 0.50%. Store the CFD or CL tick in the Half-Kelly Lot Size Calculator & Equity Guard. Wrong spec is the oil version of the ES $50 mix-up.
Intraday $0.45 to $0.80 at 8.3 CFD lots after 13:30 UTC. Swing $1.20 to $2.10 at 4 lots. Scalp $0.20 to $0.35 only after the sweep with spread under 3 ticks. EIA size is 0.00 or 4 lots after a closed M15.
USOIL checklist: barrel spec, 13:30 UTC, EIA flat, no CAD stack
Require 100 vs 1,000 confirmed, 13:30 to 16:30 UTC (sweep done), EIA/OPEC clear, unused Loonie/Brent budget, $0.60-class stop, $1 handle mapped, spread 2 to 4 ticks accepted.
Put that on the Pre-Trade AI Confluence Checklist. Manual Trade Guard attaches $0.60 on fill. 16 CFD lots of WTI at 14:29 UTC Wednesday do not get a human-delay stop.